If there is ever a time to have a courageous opinion in horse racing, it is the Kentucky Derby. What is the fun to bet the favorite in the largest horse racing in the world? If you have a contrary view of the weather event with 20 competitors, massive returns can mean.
Over the past three years, a bet of 10 US dollars for the horse that the derby won has returned 818 US dollars, $ 196.81 and $ 162.10. All winners were long shots who were minimally discussed in the run -up to the Kentucky Derby. With this in mind, we asked our employees to go to a member and to provide two heated attitudes for this year's Kentucky Derby, which is presented by Woodford Reserve: something that no one expected, and something that everyone can expect that this will not happen.
And Tordjman
Balmy Take #1: A virgin will hit the board (Finise Top 3) – and could simply win the derby
Yes, it has been more than 90 years since a virgin – a horse that has not yet won a race – has caught the roses, but this year's field shows a girl who seems to see at the right time. Although it has not yet broken through, the publisher has improved each of its last two races and showed me something with its persistent rally in the Arkansas derby (in which he was just exceeded one of the likely derby favorites, sandman). I will employ publishers for most of my betting tickets, including Exactas (top two finishers) and trifectas (the first three finishers). Read more about girls in the Kentucky Derby.
Balmy Take #2: The favorite will not come to the board
This assumes that the favorite Santa Anita Derby winner is journalism. He is a horse with a lot of talent, but to this day there were four of his five races in fields of only five horses. Since journalism usually runs out of the pace, he has to navigate a trip on which he entered the traffic and exceeds the largest and most talented area with which it is confronted. And while I respect his jockey Umberto Rispoli, he is a much better lawn driver than Dirt Rider and still has something to prove on the national stage.
Mike Curry
Balmy Take #1: journalism the 14th triple crown winner will be
While my colleague Dan Tordjman will bet on the journalism of the Santa Anita Derby in the Kentucky Derby, I will go out on a link and say that he will not only dominate, but he will be the derby, the prevalance and Belmont Stakes and this against a very good group of 3-year-olds on the 10th anniversary of the American Phrohoah 2015 sweepers in 2015. When you have read my weekly heating and have blogs cooled, you know that journalism is my 3-year-old all year round. It has a high cruise speed and can pursue a quick pace and still quickly finish – he did it for his entire career. The only huge threat that I see in the derby is the Japanese Invader Luxor Café.
Balmy Take #2: I will fade most huge preparatory races
The games my first heated take at the top, but even if I extend to trifectas, I will avoid the ARKANSAS derby the runners from the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, the Twinspires derby, Jeff Ruby Steaks, the United Arab Emirates Derby and (mostly). The only horse from these races that I will consider for the trifecta is the winner of the Arkansas Derby, Sandman. I will employ journalism and the Luxor café in the two best slots and I will fill out with horses from the Wood Memorial Stakes from Hill 'n' dale Farms in Xalapa Plus Santa Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita Anita.
Patrick Reed
Balmy Take #1: Rodriguez will lead the field to the home stud there on the quarter rod.
This Kentucky Derby field is quite delimited in terms of running styles: you have a handful of speed horses, a smaller group that prefers to drive in the midpack and stem, and a whole series of stone ports. However, I consider Rodriguez as a “speed speed”, and the Hall of Fame driver Mike Smith has already informed reporters that he is planning to send Wood Memorial Stakes presented aggressively from Resorts World Casino. I think this colt has more natural talent than the other front leaders in the derby, although the East Avenue has been a wild card since it recently returned to solid form in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. Search for Smith to pull a caretinister on Rodriguez and keep it forward to wire the derby field, as this brisk Colt was almost done in 2012. Whether Rodriguez can do this depends on how much pressure he gets, and I think he will get enough because I also think that …
Balmy Take #2: Bob Baffert does not become the victorious coach of all time in the race.
Last autumn I thought (probably together with many others) that Baffert would bring several top prospects for Derby 151 in his first appearance after three years of suspension. In fact, I introduced myself to the silver-haired Hall of Famer, which may threw a six-pack from Colts, which was prepared to overwhelm the rest of the field and to restore its status as the best Kentucky derby coach of the contemporary era. But some of them have not advanced (barnes, gaming, escape car, Romanesque, etc.), one of them started too overdue (Cornucopian), and when it turned out that he only had Rodriguez and last year's Champion Juvenile Colt Citizen Bull on May 3rd. He responds to take off the pace. I think Citizen Bull has reached its climax and I think Rodriguez cannot end his trip under Smith. In my opinion, the winner of the Kentucky Derby from this group becomes come-journalism, sovereignty, Luxor Café and Sandman-, which means that Baffert has to spend another year with six winnings with six with six before returning to Louisville in 2026, without a doubt with talent.
Noel Michaels
Balmy Take #1: Don't worry about the chances, just choose the winner
I will take journalism this year, even if it is the favorite. Regardless of whether you select a favorite or a long shot, the type of 20-horsepower Kentucky Derby ensures that you get a lot of value on your winning tickets. The derby can produce long-shot winners such as Prosperous Strike, who paid $ 163.60 for a profit of $ 2 in 2022, but even the more predictable derby winners lead to value payments such as $ 32.42 at Mage in Mage 2023 or $ 39.22. Horses like Justify (7.80 USD), always dream ($ 11.40), Nyquist ($ 6.60), American Pharoah ($ 7.80) and California Chrome ($ 7.00). If journalism wins and pays 8.12 dollars, I will take it.
Balmy Take #2: Drawing 1-2 after the position Remove each horse from my list of top picks
You do not want to ignore the importance of postal positions in the Kentucky Derby. The outposts, including those far outside of posts, keep their own, but the contributions that they really want to avoid are contributions 1 and 2. On the basis of the results from the 20-horsepower era of the Kentucky Derby in the past three decades, they cannot expect horse conditions 1: 2. The last winner of Post 2 was confirmed in 1978. The last winner of Post 1 was Ferdinand in 1986. This means that horses from posts 1-2 have become 0-to-76 in the past 38 years.