Welcome to 2025 Triple Crown Prospees – Updated after the first jewel, the Triple Crown from the previous title of the Profile of Kentucky Derby – where we will take a look at a winner on the Triple Crown Trail every week.
The profile of this week is of course the sovereignty, the 1½ length of the 1 ¼ miles long Kentucky Derby, which is presented by Woodford Reserve on May 3 in Churchill Downs.
The Hall of Fame trainer of sovereignty, Bill Mott, takes into account the in -mixtung -Colt for the 2 million US dollar Preakness Stakes on May 17th at the Pimlico Race Course. If he believes that the turnaround time is too rapid, he could instead choose the $ 2 million Belmont inserts on June 7 on the Saratoga racing route on the same 1 ¼ miles distance as the Kentucky Derby. So let's take a closer look at sovereignty and how it could fit for both races.
Racing overview: I have the sovereignty after his victory on March 1st in the Coolmore fountain of the youth missions when he returned more than four months in my Kentucky Derby ranking behind journalism in most of the nine weeks. Sovereignty was a top 3 year vintage from the beginning of the year.
In August 2024 he finished fourth on the Saratoga racetrack in a sprint in a sprint, in a mile long maiden race five weeks later in Huge A in Huge A and had a coming out party in his first start at two rounds when he won the 1 1/16-mile Street Sines Sines Stakes on October 27, 2024 in Churchill Downs.
In terms of street, sovereignty rose its last three eighth mile in: 36.74 to give every indication that he was a solemn racehorse, and his star continued to rise as a 3-year-old.
Sovereignty flashed its top speed again in his 3-year debut in the 1 1/16 milestone fountain from Youth Stakes and completed a last-to-right rally under Junior Alvarado using one last three Furlongs in: 37.68. In the 1 1/8 Mile curlin Florida Derby, which was presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms in Xalapa, he closed again.
Mott had sovereignty ready to shoot on the Kentucky Derby Day, but on a route he had shown an affinity for and with an additional eighth miles for his closure offer. He completed his last three-night mile in: 37.75 and his last Furlong in: 12.71 to outfinish favorite journalism and completed the 1 ¼ miles in 2: 02.31 on a sealed sloppy route. He improved to three victories and two seconds in six career starts and achieved his first first class victory in the Marquee race of US Racing.
“When I turn up to the butt, he was stunning,” said Alvarado, Junior -Junior -Junior -Jünior -Jockey after the sovereignty of the 16th out of 19 starters gathered to overcome himself. “When we reached the five-dated rod, he said he was ready. I didn't want to be too excited. When we turned home, I got it clear and he showed his things. I knew what he was capable of.”
Speeds: Sovereignty had to take a step forward to win the speed figures to win the Kentucky Derby, and he did so and recorded a novel career-best-equibase and Beyer speed. He improved four points from his earlier to a 103 equibase speed number and recorded a 3-point improvement from Beyer to 104. If he can duplicate these efforts by two weeks in prevalance or in five weeks in the Belmont Stakes, he is an crucial candidate for profit.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQrdjmmh1aa
Running style: As a depths, the sovereignty depends on several variables outside of its control, such as: B. Tempo and traffic. He benefited from a quick pace in the Kentucky Derby, but he was very far forced on the route. The loss of soil is better than standing behind a wall of fading horses, and sovereignty has suffered its rally from bending through the finish line.
Pimlico has the reputation as a genial to accelerate horses. Last year's prevention winner conquered the Gray LED from the beginning to finish and six of the last 16 checking winners led after half a mile. The only depths that has been closer to the prevalence in the past 16 years was exaggerated in 2016, so that the running style of sovereignty could affect its prevention opportunities. The 1 ¼ mile Belmont inserts in Saratoga last year were won by a runner who was in the early stages, Dornoch, second, but it is not fair to predict whether there is a preferred style of an edition of the race in Saratoga.
Pedigree notes: The sovereignty is the leading father in North America from 2019 to 2024 for six years in a row.
Sovereignty is one of two winners from three starters, which were produced by Crowned until 2006 Bernardini. His grandmother (grandmother Mother's side) is Mushka in class 1 by Empire Maker, who improved with age at the age of 4 in 2009.
Sovereignty should have no problem with 1 3/16 miles for the prevention and 1 ¼ miles for the Belmont Stakes-he just won the 1 ¼ miles long Kentucky derby. There is also a robust chance that he will improve with age and experience. With just six starts, sovereignty may only turn out things.
Triple crown potential: Ten years ago, American Pharoah ended a 37-year-old drought by swetting the triple crown. Justify followed in 2018. Could the sovereignty become the 14th Triple Crown winner?
There is a reason why Triple Crown winners are so sporadic: it is incredibly arduous to win three races against the Elite competition in five weeks, the second (prevention), which with a two -week break on a miniature turn while you have a destination on your back.
There will be novel shooters in the Preakness Stakes, such as: Other derby runners are erected for the Belmont Stakes five weeks later. If sovereignty gains the prevention – and there is no guarantee at the time of this writing, it will even return in two weeks – he would have a variety of tranquil competitors from the Kentucky Derby and also wait to play on the Belmont stake spoiler.
Sovereignty is a very good race horse, maybe an emerging star, but I think a triple crown sweyp is possible, but it is very unlikely that a high-quality group of 3-year-olds will look.
Preakness would be a arduous task for a deep narrow approximation -like sovereignty, unless it gets a quick pace in the race or it can pursue a little closer to the front. If Mott and Owner-Breeder Godolphin decide to skip the prevention in favor of Belmont Stakes, sovereignty in its current form would be very arduous to beat in five weeks.
I would like to see a sovereignty journalism back in the Preakness Stakes for the 150th edition of milestone, but at the moment we are waiting to see how the field is developing and whether there will be a chance for a triple crown swey or not, its talent in Balimore.
