This function offers a capsule view of three horses that heat up on the Triple Crown Trail and three horses, the chances of which are not quite as mighty for the 2025 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve as before.
In the sixth edition of this blog for the 2025 Run for the Roses, the focus is on the changing landscape of the 3-year male division after the last two promotional weeks. It was another closer call between the two top twoans, but I think the winner of the Virginia Derby, American Promise, made a bigger leap than Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby Victor Owen, the Almighty.
Heat
1. American promise
American Promise had little impact in his first two starts against Stakes competition, but had released a good equibase and Beyer -Speed figures for his first victory on December 29, 2024 in the Oaklawn Park in his sixth career start. The Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas compared the American promise to a clever child that grows into his body when he explained his outbreak in the Virginia Derby on March 15 in Colonial Downs. The Justify Colt pressed the command in the curve at the beginning of the one-gymnasium-1-1/8-mile race, took over the command in the curve and increased in a track record time of 1: 46.41 to a race for a turn, 1/8 miles race. The main route played very quickly on the day of the Virginia Derby, but American Promise dropped the previous record of 1: 47.36 on August 18, 2021 from McCain and deserved a 101 -equibase -speed number and 95 Beyer -Ver -Verschwaitenszahl. This is a well -bred stallion foal (half -brother of the graded operational winner Hoosier Philly) with considerable potential, but I have to admit that inconsistency concerns me. He has two victories, one second and a third in nine starts. His first profit was undoubtedly an attention grave, but they cannot completely dismiss the places in the Southwest Stakes and the stakes of faith-frame cracks, and in the Virginia derby he did not end up very well with one last three-8th of a mile in: 38.02.
2. Owen Almighty
Owen Almighty case for the heating section is almost the opposite of American promise. While the latter ran early very quickly and slowed down considerably too behind schedule, Owen set the Almighty in Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby with three quarters of a mile in 1: 12.54 at an basic pace. He deserved a up-to-date career-best 98-equibase speed number and a 92 Beyer-speed number, five points better than his best so far. In contrast to American promise, Owen Allmighty has never got worse than the second in six starts – he was first ended, but was disqualified and took fifth place in January for interference in the Pasco missions – and the consistency is his business card. Trainer Brian Lynch commented on concerns about the distant restrictions for the Bay Colt and repeated that after Owen Allmights Grade 3 -win, he can expand to 1 ¼ miles for the Kentucky Derby. Speightstown has proven to be capable to apply two gymnastics racing peaks, and the dam (mother) of the Almighty of Owen was a winner with 1 1/16 miles who ran in second place in the fair grounds Oaks in class 2, but Lynch knows his Colt better than any other and I tend to trust his judgment. I think Owen, the Almighty is one of the five best dirt 3 year olds in training. I would not be surprised if he could get his speed a little further, and I think he will win some large races this year. When he goes to the Kentucky Derby, he deserves respect, and the derby actually seems to be his goal than Hunter Rankin, President of the owner Flying Dutchmen, said in the recent Bloodhorse podcast that the Colt would probably start in a derby point race before going to Louisville.
3. Lion of justice
There was a clear demarcation between the two top twto and the options for my third selection for the “heating up” section, so I will venture on a member here and dare to install the adolescent animal of the judicial installation. The Murky Bay or the Brown Colt, which led the father in mischief, set a blisterful pace through half a mile in: 45.34 in the fifth race on March 15 at colonial distances I know that the route on the Virginia Derby Day was exceptionally quick and ended with a last quarter in: 24.64 and a last eighth place in: 12.42. His winning time of 1: 33.87 was only a shadow of the success record of 1: 33.70, which were determined of August 16, 2021. Lion of Justice received a 92 -team -speed number and a 92 Beyer number of speed, the latter a very good number for a career debut. It is probably far too much to ask that this 3-year-old from Brad Cox will come back for a few weeks in a second start and take the run for the roses, but he could be a player on the triple crown trail (maybe the prevalance sticks) if he takes a step to the operational competition at his next start. Lion of justice has a great double-stranded trunk tree, which is from the Medaglia d'Oro mare, which won so clever in 2017, winner of the 1/16-mile fantasy missions, and it has a lot of speed and natural skills. Add it to your virtual equibase stable.
Also justified: I went through mental gymnastics to justify the second -placed Virginia Derby Make judgment Or Tampa Bay Derby second Opportunities McPatrick I just couldn't get there for the last slot. The render judgment was on the way to the Kentucky derby ranking on the 14th place with its runner-up with 21: 1 chances and the expected expectations, but he was 7 ¾ lengths behind the winner and that is as close as he came in four attempts on the derby trail. I just don't think he's good enough. With the Chancer McPatrick, his second to Owen Allmächter in Tampa Bay Derby was a solid return from a discharge of more than four months, which included a petite ankle surgery. It is great to see him again and run robust, but I don't think he has improved his Kentucky Derby stock with a 93 -equibase -speed number and an 86 Beyer -speed figure. He was a multiple winner of the first class at the age of 2, and the next start of Chancer McPatrick will tell racing fans much more about his chances of being a grave Kentucky Derby candidate. … Accelerate made a nice first impression on the Tampa Bay Derby Undercard on March 8 with a debut victory with a 7-turn at seven round of 16. The Omaha Beach Colt received a 100 -team -speed figure and a 91 Beyer -speed figure and looks like a view with a lot of potential.
Frigid
1. Getaway car
GetaWay Car closed his 2-year season with a second journalism in the Los Alamitos Futurity in 2-class 2, a second-placed person who was flattered when journalism ran a hole in the wind when he won the DK Horse San Felipe Stakes in March. March 1st. Sunland Park Derby. As a 2-year-old, a third grade winner who performed with a mission victory this season as a 2-year-old. He was the overwhelming 4: 5 favorite for the Virginia Derby on March 15 and went directly to the front with 1 1/8 miles race. He was not a game for 7.40-1 American celebrity and faded fourth place, which was made of 8 ¾ lengths, and the equibase speed (88) was its lowest place in the DEL Mar-Futurity in September 2024. The tiny aircraft is a nice 3-year-old colt and undoubtedly.
2. Patch Adams
In each of his four career starts, this was preferred to Mischfief Colt and has only one victory to show. On November 30, 2024, this virgin of 10 ½ length in Churchill Downs wins the type of outstanding victory, which rounded up the hype machine, and many racing analysts closed him as a grave candidate for the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Unfortunately, as a 3-year-old with two fourth placements, he was not a 4-5 favorite in the $ 1 million Southwest Stakes on January 25th and on January 25th as the 1.90-1-top moist choice in Tampa Bay Derby on March 8. In the Tampa Bay Derby, Patch Adams, which rose a few lengths of pacesetting gain bath, and there was 2 ° C lengths. Patch Adams' mother (mother), well -dusty, was a mission winner with 1 1/16 miles and he leads the father in mischief. I do not think that the problem is necessarily distance restrictions, but a decline in the distance could be worth a shot and it looks like a stallion foal that would benefit from a trustee against easier competition.
3 .. rapture
It was the way GUY election for the Virginia derby, which a dominant 6 ½-length Romp of 1 1/16 miles out on January 25th in the Oaklawn Park for the top coach Brad Cox and as a 1.90-1 second-wet election in 1 1/8 miles race. It looks as if it could have been too much too early for the uncle Mo Colt, who never really had a dispute and had the sixth of seven, nine lengths behind the winner of American promise. With regard to the Kentucky Derby, the Virginia Derby was a litmus test for rapture and it was not the task. I would not be surprised if he got another shot on the derby trail, but I think he may still have a maturation to mentally and physically, and could be another one who could characterize less impressive opposition and get out better.
